RED 78-71 BAS, October 9, 2024

Did the better shots win?

No. RED beat BAS 78-71, but BAS's shots were worth 74.0 points to RED's 71.8.

RED 78-71 BAS, October 9, 2024: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
RED	59	68	62.5	10/12	9.3	78	71.8
BAS	56	57	61.0	14/17	13.0	71	74.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All EuroLeague games, 2024-25

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.