LUD 81-78 HRO, September 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LUD beat HRO 81-78, and LUD's shots were worth 87.1 points to HRO's 73.4.

LUD 81-78 HRO, September 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
LUD625864.023/3123.08187.1
HRO626657.112/2216.37873.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.