BRA 83-82 HRO, September 27, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat HRO 83-82, but HRO's shots were worth 87.1 points to BRA's 79.2.

BRA 83-82 HRO, September 27, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRA	58	61	59.1	22/26	20.1	83	79.2
HRO	74	72	77.3	10/13	9.8	82	87.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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