ULM 86-77 LUD, September 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULM beat LUD 86-77, and ULM's shots were worth 92.8 points to LUD's 87.3.

ULM 86-77 LUD, September 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
ULM	69	66	72.8	20/27	19.9	86	92.8
LUD	72	62	71.2	15/22	16.2	77	87.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.