OLD 96-81 MBC, September 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OLD beat MBC 96-81, but MBC's shots were worth 91.3 points to OLD's 88.4.

OLD 96-81 MBC, September 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OLD597768.319/2820.09688.4
MBC636270.819/2920.58191.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.