HAG 88-93 FRS, October 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. FRS beat HAG 93-88, but HAG's shots were worth 90.0 points to FRS's 80.0.

HAG 88-93 FRS, October 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAG	70	75	76.5	13/18	13.4	88	90.0
FRS	57	73	62.0	20/24	18.0	93	80.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2026-27

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.