OLD 78-87 HAG, October 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HAG beat OLD 87-78, but OLD's shots were worth 77.7 points to HAG's 70.4.

OLD 78-87 HAG, October 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	62	66	65.0	12/18	12.7	78	77.7
HAG	54	70	54.6	17/21	15.7	87	70.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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