VEC 78-90 HRO, May 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat VEC 90-78, and HRO's shots were worth 87.1 points to VEC's 80.4.

VEC 78-90 HRO, May 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VEC	64	64	66.6	14/19	13.9	78	80.4
HRO	80	86	80.3	4/9	6.8	90	87.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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