MBC 82-99 BAM, May 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BAM beat MBC 99-82, but MBC's shots were worth 90.2 points to BAM's 87.5.

MBC 82-99 BAM, May 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBC626068.222/3021.98290.2
BAM647869.921/2217.69987.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.