JEN 81-79 HDB, May 7, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. JEN beat HDB 81-79, but HDB's shots were worth 90.1 points to JEN's 88.6.

JEN 81-79 HDB, May 7, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
JEN	63	63	68.3	18/28	20.2	81	88.6
HDB	72	66	75.4	13/20	14.7	79	90.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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