MBC 99-94 HAM, April 10, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat HAM 99-94, but HAM's shots were worth 93.1 points to MBC's 84.8.

MBC 99-94 HAM, April 10, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBC628167.518/2417.39984.8
HAM657674.318/2718.89493.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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