BER 79-81 OLD, April 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. OLD beat BER 81-79, and OLD's shots were worth 90.8 points to BER's 85.3.

BER 79-81 OLD, April 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	62	60	70.3	19/20	15.0	79	85.3
OLD	66	68	78.1	13/16	12.7	81	90.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.