BRA 77-67 ULM, April 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat ULM 77-67, but ULM's shots were worth 88.9 points to BRA's 84.8.

BRA 77-67 ULM, April 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BRA	58	58	63.6	19/31	21.2	77	84.8
ULM	70	57	77.2	10/16	11.8	67	88.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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