OLD 77-96 HAM, April 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat OLD 96-77, and HAM's shots were worth 87.1 points to OLD's 72.1.

OLD 77-96 HAM, April 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	58	63	59.3	14/16	12.8	77	72.1
HAM	64	80	69.1	16/24	18.1	96	87.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.