BER 89-85 HRO, March 20, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BER beat HRO 89-85, and BER's shots were worth 88.9 points to HRO's 85.3.

BER 89-85 HRO, March 20, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	65	69	66.9	20/30	22.1	89	88.9
HRO	70	71	71.9	14/18	13.4	85	85.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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