HRO 73-78 CHE, March 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. CHE beat HRO 78-73, but HRO's shots were worth 80.0 points to CHE's 78.2.

HRO 73-78 CHE, March 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	67	67	68.6	6/16	11.4	73	80.0
CHE	61	64	62.5	14/21	15.7	78	78.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.