CHE 79-66 ULM, April 15, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. CHE beat ULM 79-66, and CHE's shots were worth 78.7 points to ULM's 78.6.

CHE 79-66 ULM, April 15, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
CHE	60	66	66.9	13/16	11.8	79	78.7
ULM	65	61	72.9	5/8	5.7	66	78.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.