BER 87-93 HAM, February 17, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HAM beat BER 93-87, but BER's shots were worth 102.6 points to HAM's 85.5.

BER 87-93 HAM, February 17, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BER766884.719/2517.987102.6
HAM567265.421/2720.19385.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.