OLD 102-88 LUD, February 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OLD beat LUD 102-88, but LUD's shots were worth 85.9 points to OLD's 80.9.

OLD 102-88 LUD, February 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
OLD679170.811/1310.110280.9
LUD657270.116/2315.88885.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.