VEC 85-73 ULM, February 14, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. VEC beat ULM 85-73, but ULM's shots were worth 95.7 points to VEC's 85.8.

VEC 85-73 ULM, February 14, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VEC667068.415/2417.38585.8
ULM806387.210/128.57395.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.