HDB 63-106 FCB, February 8, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. FCB beat HDB 106-63, and FCB's shots were worth 85.6 points to HDB's 78.1.

HDB 63-106 FCB, February 8, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HDB695670.87/107.26378.1
FCB628264.824/2820.710685.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.