BRA 94-99 HDB, February 1, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HDB beat BRA 99-94, and HDB's shots were worth 82.1 points to BRA's 75.8.

BRA 94-99 HDB, February 1, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRA597157.523/2718.39475.8
HDB658469.515/1712.69982.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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