VEC 95-98 FRS, January 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. FRS beat VEC 98-95, but VEC's shots were worth 78.1 points to FRS's 74.8.

VEC 95-98 FRS, January 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VEC658066.415/1611.79578.1
FRS618963.69/1511.19874.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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