HAM 86-69 CHE, January 31, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat CHE 86-69, and HAM's shots were worth 82.4 points to CHE's 81.2.

HAM 86-69 CHE, January 31, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	67	74	71.8	12/15	10.6	86	82.4
CHE	66	63	70.4	6/15	10.8	69	81.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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