FRS 78-82 HAM, January 24, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. HAM beat FRS 82-78, but FRS's shots were worth 87.2 points to HAM's 84.8.

FRS 78-82 HAM, January 24, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
FRS706675.212/1612.07887.2
HAM626564.817/2820.18284.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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