BRA 78-83 JEN, January 18, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JEN beat BRA 83-78, and JEN's shots were worth 87.9 points to BRA's 85.8.

BRA 78-83 JEN, January 18, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRA716170.117/2215.67885.8
JEN666670.017/2517.98387.9

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.