HDB 80-78 OLD, January 16, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HDB beat OLD 80-78, and HDB's shots were worth 90.5 points to OLD's 73.2.

HDB 80-78 OLD, January 16, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HDB	62	59	68.7	21/29	21.8	80	90.5
OLD	60	64	60.3	14/16	12.9	78	73.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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