BON 76-74 BAM, January 5, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BON beat BAM 76-74, and BON's shots were worth 84.4 points to BAM's 77.5.

BON 76-74 BAM, January 5, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BON736671.310/1913.17684.4
BAM686366.111/1511.47477.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.