TRI 100-89 ULM, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. TRI beat ULM 100-89, but ULM's shots were worth 99.6 points to TRI's 89.4.

TRI 100-89 ULM, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TRI597667.924/2821.510089.4
ULM726879.021/2820.68999.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.