OLD 76-73 BER, January 4, 2026

Did the better shots win?

No. OLD beat BER 76-73, but BER's shots were worth 85.8 points to OLD's 74.5.

OLD 76-73 BER, January 4, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
OLD	59	65	63.4	11/14	11.1	76	74.5
BER	69	61	75.8	12/14	10.0	73	85.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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