MBC 86-95 JEN, January 3, 2026

Did the better shots win?

Yes. JEN beat MBC 95-86, and JEN's shots were worth 92.1 points to MBC's 82.2.

MBC 86-95 JEN, January 3, 2026: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBC676967.817/1914.48682.2
JEN758379.512/1712.69592.1

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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