BER 104-73 BRA, December 31, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat BRA 104-73, but BRA's shots were worth 93.7 points to BER's 81.1.

BER 104-73 BRA, December 31, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	61	86	63.3	18/24	17.8	104	81.1
BRA	69	49	71.0	24/31	22.7	73	93.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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