VEC 79-96 OLD, December 29, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. OLD beat VEC 96-79, but VEC's shots were worth 82.1 points to OLD's 81.6.

VEC 79-96 OLD, December 29, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
VEC	64	66	70.3	13/16	11.8	79	82.1
OLD	67	88	72.0	8/14	9.5	96	81.6

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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