BRA 98-77 VEC, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BRA beat VEC 98-77, but VEC's shots were worth 92.4 points to BRA's 91.8.

BRA 98-77 VEC, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BRA738478.114/1913.69891.8
VEC736377.914/2014.47792.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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