BAM 83-106 ULM, December 27, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. ULM beat BAM 106-83, and ULM's shots were worth 89.4 points to BAM's 85.0.

BAM 83-106 ULM, December 27, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
BAM656769.816/2015.28385.0
ULM608567.921/3021.510689.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.