HRO 66-80 BER, December 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat HRO 80-66, but HRO's shots were worth 86.8 points to BER's 69.0.

HRO 66-80 BER, December 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	66	39	60.7	27/34	26.1	66	86.8
BER	60	63	52.5	17/22	16.6	80	69.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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