HRO 96-89 LUD, December 15, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat LUD 96-89, and HRO's shots were worth 98.8 points to LUD's 88.4.

HRO 96-89 LUD, December 15, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	62	62	66.3	34/42	32.5	96	98.8
LUD	82	82	80.3	7/11	8.1	89	88.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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