MBC 99-93 BRA, December 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat BRA 99-93, but BRA's shots were worth 78.5 points to MBC's 75.9.

MBC 99-93 BRA, December 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
MBC639168.38/107.69975.9
BRA708873.05/85.69378.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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