HAM 99-80 BER, December 14, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HAM beat BER 99-80, and HAM's shots were worth 82.4 points to BER's 80.2.

HAM 99-80 BER, December 14, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	56	76	61.9	23/29	20.5	99	82.4
BER	65	68	69.4	12/15	10.8	80	80.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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