TRI 102-98 BON, December 13, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. TRI beat BON 102-98, but BON's shots were worth 104.5 points to TRI's 97.0.

TRI 102-98 BON, December 13, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
TRI758781.615/2015.310297.0
BON797682.222/3322.398104.5

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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