BER 89-83 FRS, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat FRS 89-83, but FRS's shots were worth 88.4 points to BER's 80.3.

BER 89-83 FRS, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BER	58	76	68.0	13/17	12.3	89	80.3
FRS	65	70	74.6	13/18	13.8	83	88.4

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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