VEC 97-95 HAM, December 7, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. VEC beat HAM 97-95, but HAM's shots were worth 105.8 points to VEC's 93.8.

VEC 97-95 HAM, December 7, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
VEC636567.532/3626.49793.8
HAM757179.924/3425.995105.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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