HAM 84-88 LUD, November 22, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. LUD beat HAM 88-84, but HAM's shots were worth 88.9 points to LUD's 78.8.

HAM 84-88 LUD, November 22, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
HAM666468.720/2920.28488.9
LUD596156.527/3322.38878.8

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.