BON 70-84 BER, November 2, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. BER beat BON 84-70, but BON's shots were worth 79.4 points to BER's 78.3.

BON 70-84 BER, November 2, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
BON	60	56	66.2	14/20	13.2	70	79.4
BER	62	71	67.0	13/15	11.3	84	78.3

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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