HRO 94-77 OLD, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat OLD 94-77, and HRO's shots were worth 93.6 points to OLD's 80.0.

HRO 94-77 OLD, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	72	83	81.0	11/17	12.6	94	93.6
OLD	66	67	69.5	10/14	10.5	77	80.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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