ULM 67-75 FRS, November 1, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. FRS beat ULM 75-67, but ULM's shots were worth 84.6 points to FRS's 84.2.

ULM 67-75 FRS, November 1, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
ULM655470.713/1914.06784.6
FRS666168.914/2115.37584.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.