FRS 93-97 MBC, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

No. MBC beat FRS 97-93, but FRS's shots were worth 105.1 points to MBC's 103.0.

FRS 93-97 MBC, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team
TeamFGAFG pointsFG expectedFTFT expectedPointsShots' worth
FRS736678.427/3626.893105.1
MBC827986.018/2216.997103.0

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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