LUD 90-81 ULM, October 26, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. LUD beat ULM 90-81, and LUD's shots were worth 84.7 points to ULM's 82.2.

LUD 90-81 ULM, October 26, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
LUD	61	67	61.5	23/32	23.2	90	84.7
ULM	66	67	66.7	14/21	15.5	81	82.2

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

All Basketball Bundesliga games, 2025-26

Over Expected is a basketball shot-value platform covering NBA, EuroLeague, EuroCup, Liga ACB, Lega Basket Serie A, Basketball Bundesliga, Greek Basket League, ABA Liga, WNBA.