HRO 90-79 HDB, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. HRO beat HDB 90-79, and HRO's shots were worth 81.2 points to HDB's 66.7.

HRO 90-79 HDB, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HRO	64	64	58.2	26/30	23.0	90	81.2
HDB	64	67	56.9	12/13	9.8	79	66.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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