HAM 68-86 BON, October 12, 2025

Did the better shots win?

Yes. BON beat HAM 86-68, and BON's shots were worth 91.7 points to HAM's 72.6.

HAM 68-86 BON, October 12, 2025: points scored against what the shots were worth, by team

Team	FGA	FG points	FG expected	FT	FT expected	Points	Shots' worth
HAM	54	55	60.4	13/17	12.2	68	72.6
BON	71	80	83.3	6/13	8.4	86	91.7

Field goals are priced by how often shots like them go in, free throws at the shooter's season rate. The gap between the score and the shots' worth is not a luck number: misses bring putbacks, and a team that falls behind takes more shots and draws more free throws. How it is measured.

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